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Friday, March 28, 2008

Snowfall Totals

Here are all the NWS snowfall reports from this morning's storm:

NWS Albany
Massachusetts

... Berkshire County...
Savoy 7.5 459 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Florida 7.0 555 PM 3/28 wten elev 1700 ft
Becket 5.0 500 PM 3/28 wten 10
Lanesborough 3.5 456 PM 3/28 wxnet 6

New York

... Albany County...
Altamont 5.8 500 PM 3/28 wten 10 (880 ft)
Potter Hollow 5.0 1158 am 3/28 wxnet 6
Preston Hollow 5.0 547 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Altamont 4.5 500 PM 3/28 wten 10 (600 ft)
Altamont 4.0 500 PM 3/28 wten 10 (500 ft)
Medusa 4.0 717 am 3/28 wxnet 6
Voorheesville 4.0 505 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Albany 3.7 600 PM 3/28 NWS cestm
Colonie 3.5 437 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Alcove dam 2.4 939 am 3/28 coop

... Columbia County...
Chatham Center 0.8 402 PM 3/28 wxnet 6

... Fulton County...
Peck Lake 6.5 939 am 3/28 trained spotter
Gloversville 3.3 450 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Broadalbin 3.2 1129 am 3/28 wxnet 6
Fish House 3.0 530 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Northville 3.0 501 PM 3/28 wxnet 6

... Greene County...
Windham 2.0 939 am 3/28 trained spotter
East Jewett 1.0 939 am 3/28 trained spotter

... Hamilton County...
Indian Lake 6.0 500 PM 3/28 wten 10
Speculator 5.0 145 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Long Lake 4.0 500 PM 3/28 wten 10
Piseco 4.0 939 am 3/28 trained spotter

... Herkimer County...
Litchfield 7.0 242 PM 3/28 wktv
Cedar Lake 6.0 242 PM 3/28 wktv
Poland 4.4 900 am 3/28 trained spotter
Stillwater Reservoir 3.0 939 am 3/28 coop

... Montgomery County...
Hessville 5.5 855 am 3/28 wxnet 6
Glen 5.0 557 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Amsterdam 4.0 500 PM 3/28 wxnet 6

... Rensselaer County...
Grafton 5.0 500 PM 3/28 wten 10
Poestenkill 4.0 612 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Schaghticoke 4.0 554 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Stephentown 3.0 546 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Taborton 3.0 805 am 3/28 wxnet 6
Brunswick 2.8 923 am 3/28 NWS employee
Center Brunswick 2.0 550 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
East Greenbush 1.0 843 am 3/28 wxnet 6

... Saratoga County...
Lake Desolation 6.0 500 PM 3/28 wten 10
Porter Corners 5.5 524 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Gansevoort 5.3 518 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Corinth 4.5 425 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Ballston Spa 4.0 458 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Charlton 4.0 510 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Saratoga Springs 4.0 1248 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Clifton Park 3.9 1000 am 3/28 NWS employee

... Schenectady County...
Delanson 5.5 850 am 3/28 wxnet 6
Niskayuna 3.0 730 am 3/28 NWS employee
Scotia 3.0 612 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Schenectady 2.7 741 am 3/28 NWS employee

... Schoharie County...
Howes Cave 6.6 519 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Jefferson 6.5 547 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Richmondville 6.2 532 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Esperance 6.0 500 PM 3/28 wten 10
Middleburgh 5.5 500 PM 3/28 wten 10
Sloansville 5.5 500 PM 3/28 wten 10
West Fulton 5.5 814 am 3/28 trained spotter
Schoharie 5.0 500 PM 3/28 wten 10
Summit 5.0 517 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
North Blenheim 4.3 400 PM 3/28 trained spotter

... Warren County...
North Creek 4.6 940 am 3/28 trained spotter
Brant Lake 4.5 514 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Lake Luzerne 4.5 612 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Warrensburg 3.8 925 am 3/28 trained spotter
Queensbury 3.1 500 PM 3/28 wten 10

... Washington County...
Granville 5.0 526 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Cossayuna 4.7 525 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
North Hebron 4.5 810 am 3/28 trained spotter
Whitehall 4.5 940 am 3/28 trained spotter
Hebron 4.0 500 PM 3/28 wten 10
Hudson Falls 4.0 1143 am 3/28 wxnet 6

Vermont

... Bennington County...
Woodford 8.5 443 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
Landgrove 6.3 445 PM 3/28 wxnet 6
East Bennington 5.0 500 PM 3/28 wten elev 1100 ft
Pownal 3.0 940 am 3/28 spotter
Sunderland 2.3 940 am 3/28 spotter

... Windham County...
Londonderry 8.0 1100 am 3/28 spotter
Mount Snow 8.0 1100 am 3/28 spotter

NWS Taunton

Massachusetts

... Franklin County...
Greenfield 7.0 100 PM 3/28 final
Charlemont 4.3 1155 am 3/28 spotter
Bernardston 3.0 1100 am 3/28 spotter
Shelburne 3.0 1040 am 3/28 spotter

... Middlesex County...
Pepperell 2.3 701 am 3/28 spotter

... Worcester County...
Royalston 4.5 100 PM 3/28 final
Ashburnham 2.5 830 am 3/28 coop

New Hampshire

... Cheshire County...
Rindge 7.2 1209 PM 3/28 final
Keene 5.0 1154 am 3/28 spotter
Alstead 3.4 815 am 3/28 spotter
North Walpole 3.0 830 am 3/28 coop
Winchester 2.5 1130 am 3/28 spotter

... Hillsborough County...
Peterborough 8.0 1201 PM 3/28 spotter
Weare 6.3 1130 am 3/28 spotter
Wilton 6.3 1110 am 3/28 final
Goffstown 5.5 1203 PM 3/28
Merrimack 5.0 1140 am 3/28 spotter
Manchester 4.5 930 am 3/28 spotter
Hudson 4.3 400 PM 3/28 coop

NWS Gray
Maine

... Androscoggin County...
Leeds 5.0 1234 PM 3/28 spotter
Auburn 4.3 1026 am 3/28 spotter
Turner 4.2 134 PM 3/28 spotter
Durham 3.9 350 PM 3/28 NWS employee an06

... Cumberland County...
Bridgton 7.0 100 PM 3/28 NWS employee cu05 season total, 155.4"
Raymond 6.0 252 PM 3/28 spotter
gray 5.1 200 PM 3/28 spotter NWS office
Portland-Riverton 3.5 1256 PM 3/28 NWS employee cu06
Cape Elizabeth 3.0 1105 am 3/28 spotter
Portland-Deering ctr 3.0 1100 am 3/28 NWS employee cu08
South Portland 2.0 1033 am 3/28 spotter

... Franklin County...
Wilton 2.0 1207 PM 3/28 spotter

... Kennebec County...
Randolph 3.3 1115 am 3/28 spotter

... Knox County...
hope 3.0 1030 am 3/28 spotter

... Oxford County...
Otisfield 4.5 1210 PM 3/28 spotter

... Waldo County...
Belmont 3.0 1200 PM 3/28 spotter

... York County...
Cape Neddick 7.0 1154 am 3/28 spotter
South Berwick 6.5 1145 am 3/28 spotter
Sanford 6.0 512 PM 3/28 spotter
Hollis 5.0 1052 am 3/28 NWS employee yo01
Shapleigh 5.0 1234 PM 3/28 spotter
Berwick 4.0 1032 am 3/28 spotter
Kittery Point 3.0 1055 am 3/28 spotter
Kennebunk 2.0 1055 am 3/28 spotter

New Hampshire

... Belknap County...
Alton 6.0 130 PM 3/28 spotter
Alton Bay 5.9 234 PM 3/28 spotter
Alton Bay 4.5 1225 PM 3/28 spotter
Gilford 4.5 145 PM 3/28 spotter
Tilton 4.5 1144 am 3/28 spotter
Center Barnstead 4.0 1231 PM 3/28 spotter
sanborton 4.0 300 PM 3/28 spotter nhdot
Sanbornton 3.5 1100 am 3/28 spotter nhdot
Black Cat Island 3.0 351 PM 3/28 spotter Black Cat Island
Laconia 2.6 1133 am 3/28 spotter .44 melt

... Carroll County...
Conway 5.0 300 PM 3/28 spotter nhdot
Wolfeboro 5.0 1210 PM 3/28 spotter

... Coos County...
Pinkham Notch Scenic 5.0 300 PM 3/28 spotter nhdot
Gorham 2.5 1100 am 3/28 spotter nhdot
Dixville Notch 2.0 300 PM 3/28 spotter
Lancaster 1.5 1100 am 3/28 spotter nhdot

... Grafton County...
Franconia Notch 3.0 1100 am 3/28 spotter nhdot
Enfield 2.0 1100 am 3/28 spotter nhdot

... Merrimack County...
Henniker 4.0 1159 am 3/28 spotter
Sutton 3.0 1100 am 3/28 spotter nhdot
Canterbury 2.3 1100 am 3/28 spotter nhdot

... Rockingham County...
West Hampstead 6.2 254 PM 3/28 spotter
Derry 6.0 1220 PM 3/28 spotter
Derry 6.0 1242 PM 3/28 spotter
Greenland 6.0 225 PM 3/28 spotter
East Derry 5.3 1200 PM 3/28 spotter
Hampton 3.5 1100 am 3/28 spotter nhdot
Salem 2.0 1100 am 3/28 spotter nhdot

... Strafford County...
Rochester 6.0 1127 am 3/28 spotter
Strafford 6.0 341 PM 3/28 spotter
Durham 5.0 1139 PM 3/28 spotter
Rochester 2.7 202 PM 3/28 spotter

... Sullivan County...
Washington 7.0 155 PM 3/28 spotter
Springfield 5.0 1100 am 3/28 spotter nhdot







6AM Storm Update

Here's the RadarLab HD image of the precipitation in New England right now. As you can see, it's snowing in central New England, and that's where the snow is expected to be throughout the morning into the very early afternoon.

Thursday, March 27, 2008


As Tyler said, a winter storm is headed our way.

Central New England Mess

A moderate sized spring snowstorm is approaching central New England. Some locations could see around 5" by the time this storm system pulls away on Saturday. For an always updated U.S. weather map, be sure to scroll to the bottom of my blog page every time you visit.

Final GRAPHIX Map:

Tuesday, March 25, 2008

NEW! Tyler's Weather Launches Forums

Please sign-up and get a free account with the TylersWeather.com forums. Discuss the latest weather, watch for upcoming storms, and ask real meteorologists your own questions!

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Monday, March 24, 2008

Tuesday Night and Wednesday Clipper

A very weak clipper system will impact the region on Tuesday night and Wednesday. With this you can expect some light snow, rain or mixed showers. Snowfall accumulations will be a possible dusting from central MA and north. The exceptions are the mountains of NH and VT where 1-3'' may fall. The morning commute on Wednesday should not be affected. A larger system is possible late next week, but details are not clear at this time. More on that later this week...

Saturday, March 22, 2008

Easter Storm Update and Long Range

Just a quick update on the Easter storm- after a few days of new model runs the forecast remains the same- out to sea and no snow or rain for us, only cold and dry conditions. Our Chief Meteorologist Tyler had this one forecasted perfectly from the beginning. Now onto the long range...

It appears to me that this storm was the last good chance at a significant snowstorm for the area. If this one were to come up the coast, we would be looking at a mostly snow scenario with some areas most likely receiving over a foot..but of course, that will not happen. Computer models are forecasting a relatively weak storm to affect the area later next week. That will be an inside runner and give some rain to the region. After that, there are no big storms on the horizon and temperatures will continually warm up. Therefore, at this moment, I am thinking that we may have come to the end of snow season (except for the mountains of VT and NH). Of course we may still see some very light snow and light snow accumulations for the next week or two, but I do not see anything major on the horizon.

The real area of concern now for me is the flooding potential for northern NH, VT, and ME, where there is still a massive snow pack. If April is warm and we have a few heavy rain storms, I see some potentially major and life-threatening flooding up in north country. More on that if and when it happens.
Have a safe and happy Easter everyone!

Friday, March 21, 2008

Easter Storm Out To Sea

As we look at the latest models, we have a final solution for our Easter Storm- out to sea. After flip-flopping for a while, every single model is now in agreement on the storm. It should take a track well enough east so that no precipitation reaches even the islands of Nantucket or Martha's Vineyard. It's the true definition of a miss. Now, why are we not going to sea a memorable March storm? You can blame it all on the Polar Vortex, a low pressure center, which spins up near Baffin Island in Nunavut Territory, Canada during the winter. It is going to be much too strong when the storm attempts to come up the coast and will suppress it out to sea. All we'll see is some cold but dry conditions. The chance of this shooting any precipitation our way is slim, but it is something the Precision Plus First Alert team will keep an eye on during the next few days. Also, in the long range, something has caught my eye for next Friday, but obviously it's much too early to give any details on that one. Have a great Easter, everyone!

Wednesday, March 19, 2008

Easter Storm: First GRAPHIX Map

Here is the first GRAPHIX map for the storm early next week. It is a puzzle where it will go, hence the background of the yellow TrakPath cone. If it were to track up the coast, we would be dealing with the biggest all-snow winter storm of the season! Stay tuned...Also read below the clear, consise, and non-hype post by Expert Meteorologist Dominic.

First High Resolution GRAPHIX Map:


Easter Storm?

Now that the rain is moving out of the area as this storm departs, all eyes turn to a potential storm on Easter Monday/Tuesday. At the very moment, model agreement is not good whatsoever. Most models are trending in different directions, except one, the JMA, which has been showing a large coastal storm consistently. First if all, I'd like to show you the 12z GFS...
This is the storm's closest pass to the East Coast. It is the farthest west the GFS has been in a few days. This is a step in the right direction, as it has not been even recognizing the storm the last few runs.

Now we have the ECMWF, which was adamant about a major or even potentially historic East Coast event on its 12z run yesterday and its 00z run last night. Today at 12z, it has moved much farther east and would not give any substantial precip to the area. It is rather unusuak for a storm to trend so much in just one run, so it is definitely not done trending either way.

Now we have the UKMET and the GGEM. The UKMET was agreeing with the ECMWF at 00z last night. It has now backed off a little and is in the middle of the road between the GFS now and its own 00z run last night. The GGEM is in agreement with the GFS right now.

Now we come to the JMA. Personally, I really dislike the JMA and rarely use it, but right now on its 12z run it is showing a major east coast storm and is in line with the 00z ECMWF last night. We'll see how it handles the storm over the next few runs.

One last thing I'd like to mention is the NAO.

As you can see, it is about -1 for the storm's time frame. Is that negative enough to suppress the storm completely out to sea? Probably not. Plus, it shoots positive after the storm which is a good trend for an east coast storm.

In my opinion, the storm is going to take a track somewhere between the JMA and UKMET, meaning at least a little snow is possible for most of MA, CT, RI, and southern NH. Now will that change from now and the storm? Probably... Stay tuned to the blog where our other Precision Plus First Alert team members will be posting about this for the rest of the week. More analysis and GRAPHIX maps to come.

Tuesday, March 18, 2008

Winter Weather Advisories

Winter Weather Advisories are out for the following counties: in CT - Litchfield. in MA- Berkshire, Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester, Middlesex, and most of Essex. In NH- Cheshire, Western and Central Hillsborough, Eastern Hillsborough.

For CT
The National Weather Service in Albany has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory... which is in effect from 11 PM this evening to
11 am EDT Wednesday for the capital region... Mid Hudson
valley... Catskills... northwest Connecticut and the Berkshires of
Massachusetts.

A mix of snow and sleet will develop this evening... and will
persist for several hours overnight. The snow and sleet will then
change to freezing rain across higher elevations around or just
after midnight... with a gradual transition to plain rain expected
toward daybreak. In protected valley locations... some pockets of
freezing rain could linger until mid morning on Wednesday.

Snow and sleet accumulations are expected to reach 1 to 3 inches
across much of the advisory area... with slightly higher amounts
of up to 4 inches possible across portions of the Catskills. In
addition... ice accretion from freezing rain is expected to reach
up to one tenth of an inch.

For NH

THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH ALONG WITH
THE CITIES AND TOWNS OF JAFFREY...KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...
PETERBOROUGH AND WEARE.

LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION AROUND OR SHORTLY
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH THE NIGHT AND THEN WILL
INCREASE WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN DURING WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTH. AS THE FRONT NEARS THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON...THE
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN BY LATE IN THE DAY.

UNTIL THEN EXPECT A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...YIELDING SLIPPER TRAVEL. ALLOW
EXTRA TIME FOR THE MORNING COMMUTE. SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL
RANGE BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER.

For MA
THIS INCLUDES INTERIOR MASSACHUSETTS...MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF
INTERSTATE 495...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...
MILFORD...WORCESTER AND AYER.

LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION AROUND OR SHORTLY
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH THE NIGHT AND THEN WILL
INCREASE WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN DURING WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTH. AS THE FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON...
THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN.

UNTIL THEN EXPECT A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING...YIELDING SLIPPER TRAVEL. ALLOW EXTRA
TIME FOR THE MORNING COMMUTE. SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE
BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER.

Monday, March 17, 2008

Final Thoughts on Wed. Storm

A storm will impact the region Tuesday night and Wednesday and bring soaking rains and some snow to northern New England. With the storm being an inside runner, the surface temperatures will skyrocket and go above freezing almost to the Canadian border. The GRAPHIX map has all the details:

After this storm, all eyes turn to a potential Easter storm, which could potentially be our last chance of a snowstorm this season. Our other Precision Plus First Alert team members and I will have coverage of that storm all week.

Sunday, March 16, 2008

Rainy on Wednesday and Thursday, Long Range?

There will be periods of light rain on Wednesday, diminishing by Thursday morning. If you have plans on either days, dress in layers and don't cancel, because it will not be a total washout. Expect a GRAPHIX map to be published soon by Expert Meteorologist Dominc.

Now for the long range, it gets very exciting. Consistent runs of the GFS and ECMWF weather models show a huge snowstorm barreling up the coast early next week. This will be close to call because of several factors. Although the temperatures should be below freezing, the storm could still track off shore. Relating back to this weekend's storm, the leading system gained strenth and pulled down too much cold and dry air. Basically, this caused the second storm to go way to our south. For now, keep a close eye on this potential spring snowstorm that could lengthen southern New England's ski season!

18z GFS Weather Model:
Precipitation


Surface Temperatures:


Upper-Air Temperatures:

Mid-Week Storm

A storm will affect the region Tuesday night and Wednesday of next week. The storm will track through upstate New York and bring all rain in CT, RI, and most of MA. The only flooding with the storm should be minor urban and poor drainage flooding. River flooding is not expected. Northwestern MA and southern NH have a chance too see some mixed precipitation but it will change to rain fairly quickly. In central and northern New England, there could be substantial snow and mixed precipitation. More coming tomorrow with GRAPHIX maps and analysis from our other Precision Plus First Alert team members.

Saturday, March 15, 2008

What a Team! Enjoy Your Weekend...

The Tyler's Weather / Precision-Plus First Alert Blog Team will give you MORE COVERAGE along with BETTER FORECASTS extending though LONGER TIME PERIODS.

Our Complete Team:
~ Chief Student Meteorologist Tyler
~ Expert Meteorologist Dominic
~ Extended Range Meteorologist Joe

And will there be school?
~ Litchfield County School Expert Zach

I, Chief Student Meteorologist Tyler, will bring the highest-resolution and most precise GRAPHIX maps to you. Expert Meteorologist Dominic will also have GRAPHIX maps, along with lengthy in-depth weather discussions. And last but certainly not least, Extended Range Meteorologist Joe will predict what will come in the next and coming seasons. His area of specialization will be tropical disturbances. Enjoy the blog...it is the best source for weather information and forecasts around, because of the combined experience!
Bookmark It!
Tell People You Know!

Friday, March 14, 2008

Final Weekend Storm Outlook

A good snowband will streak across the northern Mid-Atlantic states on Sunday...

Latest High Resolution GRAPHIX Maps:

Final Map and Thoughts

The Sunday 3/16 storm will slide through the lower Mid-Atlantic completely missing New England. It will be a mix of clouds and sun on Sunday. Here's my final GRAPHIX map for the storm. As you can see, the only steady precipitation will fall in the lower Mid-Atlantic and New England will not be affected.

Small Disturbance Tonight

A small and weak disturbance will affect New England tonight and early Saturday morning. With this weak storm, you can expect rain and rain showers for all of New England except for central and northern NH (Concord and north) and ME (Portland and north) where 2-5'' of snow will fall.
All the latest models are now predicting the Sunday storm to go south and only graze the region. More on that later today.

Thursday, March 13, 2008

Plan Your Weekend - Complete Coverage!

Our new Expert Meteorologist Dominic is on top of the latest developments. As per his earlier post, I am now leaning to the fact that this low pressure system is only going to give New England a glancing blow. Nothing more than a little accumulation is possible. Updates to follow...

Latest High-Resolution GRAPHIX Map:


Weekend Storm Forecast

My thinking on this storm is that it will indeed take a southern track and only graze New England. I'm predicting that the best chance of measurable precipitation is going to be on the south coasts of MA, RI, and CT, where it will fall in the form of rain. Snow showers are possible in Central New England, especially just north of Hartford into Southern MA. Here are my latest GRAPHIX maps:

Stay tuned as the forecast is not set in stone and could change. Chief Meteorologist Tyler will have complete coverage of the storm for CT and the rest of New England soon.

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Confusion For Weekend Storm

There is some confusion as to whether this weekend's storm will go out to sea or hug the coast on an easterly progression. I believe it will go just off the Delaware/New Jersey coast, giving a big snowstorm to Central New England. Connecticut and Rhode Island may be a bit too warm, so Expert Meteorologist Dominic and I will closely moniter the storm and bring you the most accurate, up-to-date information. A GRAPHIX map may be published tonight!

CMC (Canadian Model) Total Precipitation:

Out to Sea?

The latest computer models are hinting that the track of this weekend's storm is going to be through the lower Mid-Atlantic and out to sea, completely missing the region. Only one of our computer models (the GGEM) gives measurable precipitation to our area. Because it disagrees with every other model, it is considered and outlier and will not be used in my forecast. It is unusual to have such good model agreement 84 hours out and over, so my confidence on this solution is about 65%. Computer models can change quickly, so of course this forecast can change. More coming later as new data rolls in with GRAPHIX maps if necessary.

Tuesday, March 11, 2008

Weekend Storm

As Tyler said, this is looking like a sloppy mess for most of Connecticut, Massachusetts and Rhode Island, but there could be some snow and ice in parts of New Hampshire, Vermont, and Maine. While the upper-air temperatures seem to support snow for much of the region, the surface temperatures will be too warm. Here is my preliminary map of what type of precipitation I'm expecting.

Weekend Mess Expected

A large storm will hit us this weekend, but the precipitation type remains to be seen. Right now, I expect rain to change to snow. The snow may leave a small accumulation. Our new Expert Meteorologist Dominic will cover the Central New England aspect of the storm with GRAPHIX maps soon.

My Early Scenario Map:

Wednesday, March 5, 2008

Exceptional Rainfall This Weekend

Get ready, this weekend will bring 2-4" of rainfall across the region. Up to one foot of snow will fall in some areas of OH, PA, NY, and VT. Minor road flooding can be expected, however, MAJOR FLOODING across Northern New England will occur as a two-four foot snow base remains. The water will have no where to go! See below for the latest GRAPHIX maps...


Expected Snowfall:
Expected Rainfall:

Sunday, March 2, 2008

Heavy Rain On Tuesday & Wednesday

Click for a FUTURECAST animation of the entire storm.

GRAPHIX maps will come soon.

Saturday, March 1, 2008

Storm Moves Away...What's Next?

FutureCast
The official total snow accumulation in Bristol was 6". My final forecast was for 4-8", so I was right on target. March roared in like a lion, one day late! Next week, New England will be dealing with heavy rains. More information and GRAPHIX will be published later.