Out to Sea?

The latest computer models are hinting that the track of this weekend's storm is going to be through the lower Mid-Atlantic and out to sea, completely missing the region. Only one of our computer models (the GGEM) gives measurable precipitation to our area. Because it disagrees with every other model, it is considered and outlier and will not be used in my forecast. It is unusual to have such good model agreement 84 hours out and over, so my confidence on this solution is about 65%. Computer models can change quickly, so of course this forecast can change. More coming later as new data rolls in with GRAPHIX maps if necessary.