November 1" snowfall risk

My primary forecasting knowledge is in Winter Weather, I have studied it for eight years, tropics come in second with 4 years experience, I just thought I would share my forecast with you for a November 1" snowfall risk, From looking at the patterns and some long range models, I think there will be a weak system that is very large crossing Northern Arkansas and Southern Missouri bringing 1 to 2 inch snowfall to those areas. I think there may be even some Ice or snow flurries as far South as El Dorado Arkansas. I will keep you updated on this possible snow event... as well as try to pinpoint a time period getting smaller every week.

Zack