Tropical Update August 5th

Hello everyone, Edouard has now made landfall, and I have discontinued tracking it.

All other Atlantic is quiet, with only a few waves that even have a chance to develop.

Invest 90L and 99L have both died.

Invest 90L I do believe will become Invest 92 once it reaches the Caribbean. It may even become a depression. This may become something to watch down the road, but at this time, any convection that returns with the wave dies.

No other waves need to be watched right now, although the tropics are soon to become very active. This is the time to prepare. I expect a two to three day break before the tropics light up. The gfs model shows a lot of development in the next 16 days, and this is why everyone needs to prepare now!

Sincerely,
Zack

Edouard making landfall

At 7 am CDT, T.S. Edouard was making landfall just north of Houston/Galveston. Its minimum pressure was 997 mb and the maximum winds were 65 mph. Flooding is a concern with Edouard.

As for the other invests I predicted would developed, I will admit I was wrong with those forecasts. 90L died a few days ago, and 99L died this morning.

My August forecast looks good, with the long-range GFS developing everything coming off Africa. However, the East Coast should be spared this month due to persistent troughs coming across the eastern U.S. The Gulf Coast and Mexico is now at risk. People on the East Coast should still watch, though.

And for non-tropical news, a derecho passed through Chicago last night. A tornado formed on the north side of town last night, and other areas not affected had wind gusts as high as 94 mph.


-Mitch