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Friday, August 1, 2008

Updated path and intensity


I now have the hd maps. Here is the path of 99L

Tropical update August 1st


Hello everyone, 99L still appears to be nothing to worry about at this point, however,as you can see from my projected path, I do expect it to begin to organize later. This system may affect Florida several days from now, and then we can become more concerned about it. I am still monitoring the front soon to enter the Gulf of Mexico, This system should emerge over waters tomorrow, and it could develop into a tropical depression or even a tropical storm, all interests in Texas and Louisiana should monitor this front closely. If this system emerges into the GOM tomorrow and begins to become better organized, then I will have a path and intensity prediction. Sorry I did not post the path with the hd image, I am having a few problems, these problems should be resolved later tonight or tomorrow.
Sincerely,
Zack

Invest 99L Nothing to worry about

My opinion is, NHC should not give this a medium risk for development, It should not be classified as an invest, and it is not anything to worry about. It is in favorable conditions, but what lies only a few hundred miles in front of it is dry air and dust. I do believe this system may have a chance to develop 3 to 5 days from now, but nothing to worry about in the short term. I am still monitoring the cold front soon to enter the GOMEX. At this time, no models forecast significant development, but we will have to monitor it over the next 3 to 4 days. My full update and my projected path and intensity for 99L will be coming later today.