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Thursday, August 28, 2008

Gustav extremely dangerous! Cat. 4-5 likely

Hi everyone! First, about the maps, I didn't use the HD ones because none of them really showed the whole area of my forecast. So, without further ado, here's the outlook for Gustav. I will have an update on Hanna tomorrow.

"Tropical Stormicane" Gustav is south of Jamaica and moving WSW. It probably was a hurricane and may still be, because of the center relocation to the south so it somehow missed hitting Jamaica directly. That being said, Gustav is over a bathtub of warm water and very low shear. It is expected to turn to the WNW and strengthen as it moves through the Yucatan Channel. My forecast calls for a more pronounced turn to the north due to the weakness in the ridge to the north, plus the steering current forecasts. The models are a little farther west.So here is the forecast for Gustav:

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