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Wednesday, July 23, 2008

Dolly inland, 97L weak, GFS/CMC tropical threat?

So Hurricane Dolly has moved inland, but is still packing a punch. The eye is still well-defined as it moves towards the Mexican border. Also, some areas near South Padre island have gotten 20 inches of rain! Doppler radar even shows some isolated 25+ inch amounts! The average for southern Texas, though, is around 5 inches from Dolly. As for the Tyler's Weather Official Forecast, the intensity was dead on from the start, and the track wasn't off by more than 30 miles with either cone. We performed quite well with this storm here at Tyler's Weather.

97L is very weak and is managing to fire a few thunderstorms every once in a while. Look for it to stay weak and curve out to sea next week.

The GFS and CMC are predicting that the next tropical wave to come off Africa tomorrow will become our next tropical depression. I see a good chance of developing with this, as it will be moving over much warmer waters than 97L is right now.

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