My opinion is, NHC should not give this a medium risk for development, It should not be classified as an invest, and it is not anything to worry about. It is in favorable conditions, but what lies only a few hundred miles in front of it is dry air and dust. I do believe this system may have a chance to develop 3 to 5 days from now, but nothing to worry about in the short term. I am still monitoring the cold front soon to enter the GOMEX. At this time, no models forecast significant development, but we will have to monitor it over the next 3 to 4 days. My full update and my projected path and intensity for 99L will be coming later today.
Friday, August 1, 2008
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