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Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Tropical Update

Invest 92: This is looking pretty ragged at the moment. I do expect this system to become a depression by the 11 advisory however, and soon, this thing will rapidly intensify, as a major mjo pulse is soon to be over the Atlantic and 92L. As for track and intensity, I expect this system to track just N of the Leeward Islands, and into the Bahamas. As for intensity, I expect to see a cat 1 hurricane approaching Florida in 120 hours. Some models like GFDL predict a cat 4, I think this is way overdone.

Invest 93; 93 has changed little in organization the past 24 hours, and is looking pretty ragged, not until the major mjo pulse, will this become a depression. As for the track and intensity, I expect this system to remain a fish storm curving out to sea, with only Bermuda threatened. As for intensity, I think This system will be a cat 1 hurricane 120 hours out.

Hurricane Forecaster Zack

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