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Saturday, August 2, 2008

Invest 90L 91L and 99L






We have a lot to talk about today, and it is only August 2nd, this is not a good sign, we enjoyed the relatively small quiet period, and now we have three systems to watch in the Atlantic basin. Not only that, but two of them have a good chance to affect the US coast, The other one even has a small chance of affecting the East coast. Now lets talk about each one of them.
Invest 90L: This became an invest early this morning, my path and intensity prediction are both interesting, this system is expected to head towards the leewards, and eventually, jamaica and Cuba may have to watch this, and eventually, even the Gulf Coast may have to watch this, as for intensity, at the end of the long range track, I expect it to be a strong category 1. This system is the only invest in the atlantic that is expected to become a hurricane within 7 days.
Invest 91L: This became an invest only a few hours ago, and is the most concern at this time. The reason is it's proximity to the Gulf Coast, It is right off the Coast of the Florida Panhandle, and is moving WNW. My track and intensity call for this to become a pretty strong tropical storm, and for it to track into Southern and Eastern Texas. All interests fro Houston to Brownsville should monitor the progress of 91L.
Invest 99L: At this time, this one is of the least concern, it is also the strongest of the three at this point, however, conditions are not as favorable for development as they are with the other two. My forecast track and intensity for this invest is a little less concerning, I expect it to become a strong tropical storm within 7 days, And track WNW then on a more NW track, This invest may become a threat to the East Coast, But at this time, we believe this system will remain, mainly a marine interest.
My full update will be coming later.
Sincerely,
Zack

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