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Tuesday, July 29, 2008

Invest 98L Forms

Off the coast of Africa, Invest 98L has formed. It is currently a strengthening 1008-mb low pressure system with a T# of 1.0. The T# for T.D. status is either 1.5 or 2.0, depending on what the NHC thinks. Anyway, 98L has increased in convection during the day, and I was impressed to see it flare up during diurnal min. Wind shear is around 10-20 knots with 98L, which is pretty good to allow some development.

My forecast calls for 98L to slowly strengthen and move west to west-northwest due to the building ridge the models are showing. Low wind shear and somewhat moist air should aid in some development over the next few days.

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