Just a quick update on the Easter storm- after a few days of new model runs the forecast remains the same- out to sea and no snow or rain for us, only cold and dry conditions. Our Chief Meteorologist Tyler had this one forecasted perfectly from the beginning. Now onto the long range...
It appears to me that this storm was the last good chance at a significant snowstorm for the area. If this one were to come up the coast, we would be looking at a mostly snow scenario with some areas most likely receiving over a foot..but of course, that will not happen. Computer models are forecasting a relatively weak storm to affect the area later next week. That will be an inside runner and give some rain to the region. After that, there are no big storms on the horizon and temperatures will continually warm up. Therefore, at this moment, I am thinking that we may have come to the end of snow season (except for the mountains of VT and NH). Of course we may still see some very light snow and light snow accumulations for the next week or two, but I do not see anything major on the horizon.
The real area of concern now for me is the flooding potential for northern NH, VT, and ME, where there is still a massive snow pack. If April is warm and we have a few heavy rain storms, I see some potentially major and life-threatening flooding up in north country. More on that if and when it happens.
Have a safe and happy Easter everyone!
Saturday, March 22, 2008
Easter Storm Update and Long Range
Forecast Prepared By Anonymous at 2:51 PM 0 comments
Friday, March 21, 2008
Easter Storm Out To Sea
As we look at the latest models, we have a final solution for our Easter Storm- out to sea. After flip-flopping for a while, every single model is now in agreement on the storm. It should take a track well enough east so that no precipitation reaches even the islands of Nantucket or Martha's Vineyard. It's the true definition of a miss. Now, why are we not going to sea a memorable March storm? You can blame it all on the Polar Vortex, a low pressure center, which spins up near Baffin Island in Nunavut Territory, Canada during the winter. It is going to be much too strong when the storm attempts to come up the coast and will suppress it out to sea. All we'll see is some cold but dry conditions. The chance of this shooting any precipitation our way is slim, but it is something the Precision Plus First Alert team will keep an eye on during the next few days. Also, in the long range, something has caught my eye for next Friday, but obviously it's much too early to give any details on that one. Have a great Easter, everyone!
Forecast Prepared By Anonymous at 9:23 AM 0 comments